Deterministic math.
Specialized AI analysis.
Five small tools for analysts and field staff. Every number is computed from explicit inputs — no model is ever asked to do arithmetic. LLM panels narrate what the math means and flag what it can't tell us.
Bayesian Draft Updater
Update a draft model's prior probability that a player is A-grade by feeding in observed game lines. Sequential posteriors, likelihood ratios, sensitivity table.
ERA Possibility Explorer
Enumerate every integer ER total that produces an ERA inside a target range for a given IP. Or solve for the minimum innings to reach K valid outcomes.
Mid-Season Hitter Profiler
Sift signal from regression. BABIP vs expected, HR rate vs FB%, profile coherence, sample-size flags, and a regression-aware AVG projection.
Pitcher Development Profile
Affiliated season-by-season pitching from MLB Stats API: K/BB trends, luck context (BABIP, strand), role and sample awareness — Analyst or Talent memo mode.
Hitter Development Profile
Affiliated season-by-year hitting from MLB Stats API: BABIP vs plate discipline, ISO and PA-aware buckets — Analyst or Talent memo mode.
All calculations are deterministic. LLMs are used exclusively for specialized analysis of computed outputs — never for math. Every tool ships its limitations inline.